Académica vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 4
ACA
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
ACA
2 - 0
SAL
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
FAR
0 - 2
ACA
57%
25%
19%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
POR
2 - 1
ACA
65%
22%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ACA
3 - 1
VIT
48%
29%
23%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
4 - 3
CHA
33%
22%
45%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
SAC
3 - 0
CHA
32%
22%
46%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
CHA
3 - 0
SAC
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
CHA
1 - 3
FCB
63%
17%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
0 - 0
CHA
58%
19%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |