Académica vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
ACA
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 0
ACA
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 2
FAR
35%
29%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACA
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 3
FCP
8%
18%
74%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
NAC
11%
19%
71%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
CHA
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 0
CAS
77%
17%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |