Académica vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 2
ACA
64%
19%
18%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
APO
6 - 2
ACA
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ACA
2 - 2
SCP
13%
16%
71%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
SLB
10 - 1
CAS
94%
5%
2%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 2
FCP
9%
14%
77%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
5 - 1
CAS
95%
3%
1%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCB
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 3
BEL
15%
19%
66%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |