Académica vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.6%
6.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACA
27%
21%
53%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
ACA
10 - 1
FCB
73%
14%
13%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
ACA
4 - 3
VIT
60%
18%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
ACA
5 - 2
BEL
40%
21%
39%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
CAR
0 - 4
UNI
48%
22%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 0
CAR
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
CAR
6 - 0
APO
65%
17%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
LEC
0 - 3
CAR
60%
19%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCB
53%
22%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |