Académica vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14%
11.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 4
ACA
46%
22%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 4
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
92%
5%
3%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 2
APO
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 0
VST
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 4
ACA
46%
22%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 0
VST
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
5 - 2
LEX
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 0
CAR
94%
4%
2%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |