Académica vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VIT
4 - 5
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
ACA
2 - 0
FAB
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
SCP
1 - 1
ACA
82%
12%
7%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 0
LGC
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
CAL
2 - 1
TOR
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 3
CAL
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
CAL
0 - 0
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
LGC
3 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |