Académica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 2
ACA
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
3 - 0
PAÇ
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
EST
0 - 1
BOA
29%
27%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
BOA
3 - 0
NAV
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
BOA
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BOA
2 - 1
EST
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2006 |
VST
0 - 2
BOA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |