Académica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 2
UDL
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
76%
17%
7%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2004 |
BOA
2 - 1
ALV
61%
25%
15%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
BOA
1 - 0
BMA
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SLB
3 - 2
BOA
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
BOA
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |