Académica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
5 - 1
LEX
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
3 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VIT
4 - 0
ACA
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
BOA
4 - 1
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
VIT
3 - 2
BOA
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VAR
4 - 1
BOA
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
BOA
3 - 2
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | +2 |