Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-7
Académica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
BOA
6 - 1
ACA
63%
18%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 3
SPC
53%
22%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
19%
20%
61%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
FCB
3 - 1
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1954 |
BOA
6 - 1
ACA
63%
18%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
SPC
4 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
BOA
2 - 0
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
VST
7 - 1
BOA
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
BOA
2 - 1
SPB
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |