Académica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
71%
15%
14%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
ACA
3 - 2
VIT
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 1
ACA
57%
19%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
ACA
4 - 1
EST
47%
21%
32%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ATL
6 - 1
ACA
68%
16%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOA
68%
16%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
BOA
2 - 0
EST
34%
22%
44%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
BEL
4 - 3
BOA
77%
13%
9%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
BOA
2 - 2
ORI
62%
18%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
VST
1 - 0
BOA
62%
19%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |