Académica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.8%
13.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
SCP
7 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ACA
3 - 3
FCP
27%
20%
53%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
UNI
2 - 3
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
27%
20%
53%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
BOA
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BOA
0 - 2
FCB
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
SLB
6 - 1
BOA
90%
6%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
BEL
10 - 0
BOA
81%
11%
8%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
BOA
3 - 6
FCP
16%
17%
68%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |