Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 4
MOR
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BMA
0 - 0
ACA
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SCP
0 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 2
VST
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
43%
25%
33%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |