Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
60%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
SPB
1 - 0
ACA
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
ACA
0 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
BOA
4 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ACA
3 - 1
ESP
53%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1981 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
F95
2 - 2
SLB
46%
25%
28%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
SLB
4 - 1
AMO
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
POR
1 - 5
SLB
21%
28%
51%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 0
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |