Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
56.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
ACA
3 - 1
OLH
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 3
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 2
ACA
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
OLH
0 - 1
SLB
18%
25%
58%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
SLB
4 - 0
FAR
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
UFT
0 - 0
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |