Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
FCB
4 - 1
ACA
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
UFT
1 - 0
ACA
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 3
VST
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 1
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |