Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1967 |
ASA
0 - 7
ACA
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
SCP
0 - 0
ACA
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 1
VAR
76%
14%
9%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 1
VIT
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
BMA
0 - 9
SLB
8%
14%
79%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
VST
3 - 2
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 2
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
SLB
1 - 0
SAN
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |