Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
OLH
3 - 0
ACA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 3
LGC
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
SLB
2 - 1
LGC
91%
7%
3%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 3
SLB
14%
19%
66%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
SLB
4 - 3
SCP
58%
20%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
VIT
3 - 4
SLB
20%
22%
58%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |