Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
FCB
0 - 2
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
LGC
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 0
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
SLB
4 - 2
BEL
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
SPC
1 - 3
SLB
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
61%
20%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 4
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |