Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BOA
1 - 3
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
53%
22%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
77%
14%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
FAB
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
ATL
0 - 4
SLB
22%
22%
55%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPC
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
VIT
1 - 1
SLB
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
BOA
0 - 2
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |