Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACA
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 2
FCB
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 0
TOR
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 4
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
SLB
4 - 0
VST
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
SLB
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
SLB
4 - 0
ATL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |