Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
64.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
ACA
1 - 2
ATL
56%
20%
25%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 1
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ACA
4 - 6
SPC
67%
16%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ACA
3 - 2
FCP
43%
21%
36%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
OLH
1 - 2
SLB
27%
21%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
ATL
1 - 1
SLB
26%
21%
54%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SLB
4 - 2
SPB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPC
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |