Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLH
51%
19%
30%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
5 - 3
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
ACA
0 - 3
BEL
35%
21%
45%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
FCP
2 - 4
ACA
82%
10%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
ACA
5 - 1
SAL
85%
9%
6%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
EST
1 - 1
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
8%
13%
79%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
SLB
11 - 3
SAL
96%
3%
1%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
VST
3 - 8
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
FCP
4 - 3
SLB
47%
20%
33%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |