Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.6%
62.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
ATL
8 - 0
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
ACA
9 - 4
SAL
70%
15%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
OLH
8 - 2
ACA
76%
13%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
40%
20%
40%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 3
FCP
75%
13%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
10%
14%
76%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
54%
19%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
SAL
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 3
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |