Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
CAR
1 - 3
ACA
55%
20%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ACA
6 - 2
LEC
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
6 - 2
ACA
53%
21%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
ACA
0 - 2
BEL
41%
21%
38%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
SLB
2 - 0
UNI
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 1
APO
93%
5%
2%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
CAR
1 - 4
SLB
14%
16%
70%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1941 |
BEL
3 - 2
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1941 |
SLB
1 - 2
BEL
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |