Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
52.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
ACA
3 - 2
BEL
36%
22%
42%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
BOA
2 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ACA
3 - 5
SCP
12%
16%
72%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
FCP
6 - 2
ACA
93%
5%
2%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
UNI
2 - 6
SLB
19%
19%
62%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
SCP
1 - 2
SLB
72%
14%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCB
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |