Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 2
ACA
41%
23%
36%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 1
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
15%
18%
67%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BEL
8 - 1
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 4
APO
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
13%
18%
69%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
3 - 4
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
APO
3 - 4
SLB
14%
18%
69%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |