Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
44.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 2
SCP
31%
21%
48%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
APO
1 - 2
ACA
57%
19%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 3
APO
67%
17%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SPC
2 - 3
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCP
62%
18%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
FCP
6 - 1
SLB
58%
19%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
NAC
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
NAC
0 - 9
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SLB
3 - 0
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 9 | 77 | 0 |