Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
59.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 3
ACA
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
ACA
0 - 4
SCP
19%
18%
64%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
APO
1 - 5
ACA
71%
16%
13%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 0
CAR
61%
19%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
47%
21%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCB
88%
8%
5%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |