Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
59.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
3 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 3
ACA
69%
16%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 6
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
SLB
8 - 1
VST
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |