Académica vs Benfica analysis


71	ELO	79
0.6%	Tilt	0.8%
4003º	General ELO ranking	78º
58º	Country ELO ranking	4º
ELO win probability

36.8%

Académica

21.1%

Draw

42.2%

Benfica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

36.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%

21.1%

Draw

0-0

2.1%

1-1

7.9%

2-2

7.3%

3-3

3%

4-4

0.7%

5-5

0.1%

6-6

<0%

0

21.1%

42.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%