Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 1
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
RIO
3 - 1
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 0
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2004 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
BMA
3 - 3
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 2
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 1
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |