Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
SCP
4 - 4
ACA
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
ACA
5 - 0
PEN
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
ACA
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
23%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
SAL
0 - 1
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
ACA
2 - 0
FAR
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
BEL
2 - 1
VIT
46%
27%
26%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
VST
2 - 2
BEL
60%
26%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
SLB
4 - 1
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
BEL
2 - 2
BOA
43%
29%
29%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 0
BEL
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |