Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 4
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 1
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 2
FAB
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 0
UFT
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
FCP
3 - 1
BEL
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
VIT
2 - 2
BEL
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |