Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 1
ORI
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
OLH
0 - 0
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
ACA
1 - 1
BMA
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
BEL
6 - 4
OLH
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
BEL
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 0
CDM
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 1
FAR
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |