Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ACA
0 - 0
LEX
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ACA
3 - 1
BOA
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
UFT
2 - 1
ACA
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
BEL
0 - 0
BMA
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
LEX
1 - 3
BEL
44%
30%
26%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
BEL
3 - 1
ATL
66%
22%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
BEL
1 - 1
FAB
52%
28%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |