Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
ACA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
BOA
0 - 1
ACA
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
FAB
2 - 1
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAR
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
VST
1 - 1
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
BEL
3 - 0
LEX
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
89%
8%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCB
52%
27%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |