Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VIT
4 - 0
ACA
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
FCB
4 - 1
ACA
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
LEX
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
VIT
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |