Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
VST
2 - 2
ACA
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ACA
1 - 2
SPB
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 1
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VST
1 - 0
BEL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
89%
8%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
BEL
3 - 0
LEX
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |