Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LGC
3 - 3
ACA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ACA
8 - 0
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SCP
5 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
ACA
0 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
FEI
2 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCP
33%
25%
43%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 0
LGC
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
FCB
0 - 1
BEL
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
29%
23%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 2
BEL
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |