Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ACA
2 - 2
SCP
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAB
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 1
BEL
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
BOA
0 - 1
BEL
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |