Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
35%
23%
41%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
SPC
3 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
ACA
1 - 2
LGC
64%
17%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
CAL
2 - 1
ACA
44%
23%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 0
LGC
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
CAL
0 - 2
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCB
76%
14%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |