Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
SCP
5 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ACA
4 - 0
LGC
58%
19%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 4
SCP
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 1
VST
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
BOA
2 - 1
BEL
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 0
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |