Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-7
Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
40%
25%
36%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
34%
23%
42%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 2
ACA
49%
21%
30%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
40%
25%
36%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
BEL
4 - 1
FCB
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
SAL
2 - 1
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPB
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 1
BEL
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |