Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
SCP
7 - 0
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ACA
5 - 0
ORI
76%
13%
11%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
72%
15%
14%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
ACA
6 - 0
VST
60%
18%
21%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SCP
6 - 0
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ORI
3 - 1
BEL
14%
19%
67%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
BEL
2 - 0
VST
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SPB
1 - 0
BEL
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPC
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |