Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 0
ACA
58%
18%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ACA
3 - 1
VIT
73%
14%
13%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ACA
3 - 3
ORI
72%
15%
14%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 3
ACA
57%
19%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
FCP
0 - 0
BEL
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
58%
19%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCP
37%
21%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SCP
0 - 0
BEL
86%
8%
5%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |