Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
57.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SPB
2 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 3
OLH
47%
20%
33%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
OLH
12 - 0
ACA
64%
16%
19%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1947 |
EST
6 - 1
ACA
77%
12%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
44%
20%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
FAM
1 - 5
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
BEL
7 - 0
SAN
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1947 |
OLH
3 - 0
BEL
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |