Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
BOA
2 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ACA
3 - 5
SCP
12%
16%
72%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
FCP
6 - 2
ACA
93%
5%
2%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
UNI
56%
19%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
BOA
5 - 0
ACA
58%
19%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
BEL
13 - 0
UNI
75%
13%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
FCP
2 - 2
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
BEL
5 - 0
FCB
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -2 |