Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 1-7
Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
LEC
2 - 9
ACA
45%
21%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
ACA
2 - 2
LEC
78%
12%
10%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
83%
10%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
ACA
4 - 2
FCB
72%
15%
13%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
BOA
0 - 8
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
BEL
7 - 1
BOA
83%
10%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
BOA
2 - 3
BEL
24%
21%
56%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
BEL
5 - 1
SCP
44%
21%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |