Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
62.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 2
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
73%
15%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
3 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1937 |
BEL
5 - 0
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
3 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |